Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.358105 1.558736 1.779233 2.039626 2.338866 2.672151 3.071768
2025-06-29 1.030245 1.281168 1.579898 1.962092 2.438680 3.014211 3.763338
2025-07-06 0.789748 1.052069 1.386577 1.845125 2.458719 3.253440 4.364331
2025-07-13 0.680096 0.963153 1.346850 1.906234 2.703477 3.802879 5.441333
2025-07-20 0.600320 0.898118 1.324552 1.981659 2.972943 4.419541 6.704144
2025-07-27 0.533843 0.839325 1.299041 2.043979 3.227360 5.045652 8.073400
2025-08-03 0.471158 0.775080 1.253651 2.065644 3.418041 5.596610 9.405132
2025-08-10 0.404434 0.693454 1.167839 2.007412 3.467852 5.924985 10.417460
2025-08-17 0.342039 0.609299 1.065078 1.903790 3.422576 6.082853 11.153386
2025-08-24 0.302582 0.558803 1.011844 1.876848 3.504061 6.465206 12.336809
2025-08-31 0.268286 0.512555 0.959409 1.842787 3.565366 6.815168 13.504723
2025-09-07 0.253015 0.499470 0.965387 1.917963 3.841261 7.598847 15.619737
2025-09-14 0.230659 0.470858 0.940489 1.934366 4.014042 8.225794 17.558599
2025-09-21 0.206252 0.434830 0.896450 1.906406 4.093846 8.680262 19.217527
2025-09-28 0.179304 0.389795 0.828203 1.818281 4.034396 8.837571 20.261400
2025-10-05 0.170233 0.381600 0.835621 1.894042 4.342565 9.828948 23.339416
2025-10-12 0.162554 0.375355 0.846304 1.978494 4.682797 10.941152 26.882510
2025-10-19 0.154209 0.366396 0.849671 2.046473 4.994702 12.033669 30.559295
2025-10-26 0.143692 0.350860 0.835861 2.071574 5.207126 12.920862 33.870706
2025-11-02 0.129229 0.323806 0.791346 2.015110 5.208793 13.292091 35.911647
2025-11-09 0.113805 0.292251 0.731785 1.912157 5.076175 13.304521 36.996698
2025-11-16 0.104205 0.274208 0.703378 1.885713 5.140572 13.836906 39.599631
2025-11-23 0.095229 0.256583 0.673750 1.851844 5.180032 14.308794 42.112145